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Morningstar's chief US market strategist says stocks will stay choppy over the next few quarters. But Dave Sekera also says patient investors can position themselves for future success. "According to our valuations, investors appear best positioned in a barbell-shaped portfolio by being overweight value and growth and underweight core." For now, Sekera wrote, stocks are likely to stay inside their recent trading range, with positive and negative economic news dictating their course. The 10 stocks below are ranked from lowest to highest based on the upside Morningstar believes they have relative to their fair value.
Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist for Morningstar, is bullish on one corner of tech that he says is set to experience "some of the strongest long-term secular growth." That's cybersecurity, he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Thursday. "Between geopolitical risks, ransomware and hacking, this is just one area that's going to have a lot of secular growth," Sekera said. Sekera names one stock that he says is trading at about a 25% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimates: CrowdStrike . Analysts have struck a bullish tone on cybersecurity of late, arguing that it's one sector that's resilient even in a slowdown.
They also have at 10% or more upside to the average analyst price target, per FactSet. Five-star rated Citigroup is up 11% for the year and has almost 12% upside to the average analyst price target. Shares are up more than 10% year to date and have another 5% upside to the average analyst price target. TFC YTD mountain Truist Financial's year-to-date performance Truist can rally nearly 11% upside over the next 12 months, based on the average analyst price target. Ford Motor shares could also rally almost 11%, according to the average analyst price target.
For now, U.S. stocks are around 15% undervalued, according to Sekera, who says the extent of this undervalued territory is rare. 'Undervalued' stocks Sekera names three stocks he says are undervalued right now, trading at a steep discount to Morningstar's fair value estimates. Medical technology firm Medtronic made his list: The stock is trading at a 28% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimate. Sekera also named Citi , which is trading at a 34% discount to Morningstar's fair value price. The stock is trading at a more-than 20% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimate.
Dividend stocks may take center stage during rough economic conditions in 2023. Morningstar's Dave Sekera recently listed 10 cheap, high-quality dividend-paying stocks to buy now. As equity valuations slumped into an official bear market last year, high-quality dividend-paying stocks took center stage to rise above their more speculative peers. According to Morningstar chief US market strategist Dave Sekera, it's no coincidence that dividend stocks stole the show in 2022. 10 high-quality dividend payersIn the video, Sekera identified 10 high-quality stocks that are currently trading below their fair values, have high upside potential, and have a "relatively decent or healthy" dividend yield payout.
Right now the cheapest stocks are in the communication services sector, where they are currently trading 43% below Morningstar's fair value estimates. Healthcare and real estate stocks also seem undervalued, trading 11% and 25%, respectively, below fair price estimates. Within the sector software stocks are trading at a 23% discount, semiconductor stocks are 12% undervalued, and hardware stocks are 15% undervalued, according to Morningstar sector director Brian Colello. On the other hand, consumer defensives and industrials seem to be starting 2023 off trading around fair value, while utilities stocks currently look about 5% overvalued. These stocks are listed below, along with each firm's ticker, market capitalization, sector, and price over fair value estimate.
Small-cap stocks are trading at the greatest discount relative to their larger counterparts. Instead, investors spent the year shifting from growth to value stocks in an attempt to seek a safe haven. He specified small-cap stocks, which are trading at the greatest discount relative to their larger counterparts. The Federal Reserve is then expected to ease its monetary policy, which would lead to a rebound in the stock market. The caveat is that many of these small-cap stocks also have a high uncertainty rating, which indicates how closely Morningstar thinks its forecast will match the company's outcome.
Morningstar says the market is currently trading at a 16% discount relative to fair market value. On the opposite end is energy, trading at a 12% premium over the firm's fair value. In the last 12 years, the market has hit this discount territory only 5% of the time, he noted. Today, the firm believes energy is trading at a 12% premium over the firm's fair value estimate. Each one includes its fair market value price and its Morningstar rating.
Morningstar's Dave Sekera says it's a hard time for retail, but many stocks are too undervalued. He explained that a number of major retailers are trading for half of their fair value. Sign up for our newsletter to get the inside scoop on what traders are talking about — delivered daily to your inbox. Despite all that, Sekara thinks retail in general is getting oversold, with many stocks trading for just half of what Morningstar considers to be their fair value. Sekera named a series of stocks from across the retail and consumer technology spaces that have become overly cheap relative to Morningstar's fair value estimates.
With many stocks in a bear market, equities could be undervalued by 15%, according to Morningstar's chief U.S. strategist. Dave Sekera told CNBC last week that markets are overestimating the impact of inflation on the U.S. economy, leaving many stocks below their fair value. The S & P 500 rallied 5.9% last week for its best week since June , although stocks fell slightly Monday. It gives Zimmer Biomet 51.4% potential upside, Amazon upside of 48%, Salesforce 52% upside, ServiceNow upside of 57%. Morningstar analysts also believe 3M is a "cheap stock" trading at $133 and expect shares to rise by 37.6% to $183.
The firm shared its top 33 most undervalued stock picks going into the fourth quarter of 2022. But that doesn't mean that there's no gains to be made, said Dave Sekera, the chief US market strategist at Morningstar. "On a longer historical time frame, there have only been a few other instances when our price versus fair value metric had dropped to similar levels." On the other hand, the defensive sectors are trading relatively close to Morningstar's fair value estimates, while utilities stocks seem to skew rich versus their fair values. In note from October 4, Morningstar analysts listed their top 33 most undervalued stocks heading into the fourth quarter of the year.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC PRO Talks: Morningstar’s chief U.S. strategist on stocks to beat the volatilityDave Sekera, chief U.S market strategist for Morningstar, joined CNBC’s Julianna Tatelbaum on Wednesday for a frank conversation on the market outlook.
Getty Images / Xinhua News AgencyHello and welcome to Insider Investing. I'm Joe Ciolli, and I'm here to guide you through the current market and investing landscape. Here's what's on the docket:If you aren't yet a subscriber to Insider Investing, you can sign up here. But he still shared with us 10 disruptive tech stocks that also look underpriced relative to peers, as well as the top tech themes worth investing in. He also authored the book "Fed Up," which details the fictional journey of a macro trader.
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